Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Berrettini vs P. Carreno-Busta
Matteo Berrettini
ITA
l
w
l
w
w
l
w
w
l
w
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
29
Age
34
6'5" (196 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
56
C. Rank
89
6
Best Rank
10
10
Total Titles
7
0
YTD Titles
0
$9.5M
Career Money
$10.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
29
Age
34
6'5" (196 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
56
C. Rank
89
6
Best Rank
10
10
Total Titles
7
0
YTD Titles
0
$9.5M
Career Money
$10.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Berrettini 1 - 1 Carreno-Busta
They have played 5 sets in total, with Matteo Berrettini winning 3 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Matteo Berrettini was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 09-08-2022, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Berrettini | 1 |
| Carreno-Busta | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R1) National Bank Open - Montreal(08-09-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
Matteo Berrettini
3
2
(R4) Australian Open - Melbourne(01-23-22)
Matteo Berrettini
7
7
6
Pablo Carreno-Busta
5
6
4
M. Berrettini vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $9,500,220 | Career Prize Money | $10,687,070 |
| 66.23% (353-180) | Career Total W/L | 63.28% (610-354) |
| 1 | Hard | 1 |
| 15 | Titles | 33 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 54.05% (20-17) | YTD Win/Loss | 36.36% (8-14) |
M. Berrettini vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Berrettini has won 51.92% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.29%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Berrettini, in recent form, has won 38.58% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 46.78%. The same stats for first serve returns are 21.01% and 26.94% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Matteo Berrettini has saved 51.95% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Berrettini has won 56.41% of matches played (W/L 22/17), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 59.70% (W/L 40/27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Matteo Berrettini has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 45/13), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 42/33). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 78% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
- Player level: In the last year, Matteo Berrettini has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/9), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.68% of matches (W/L 28/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Matteo Berrettini winning 1 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 1 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Matteo Berrettini winning 3 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2.
- The last match between Matteo Berrettini and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 09-08-2022, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:49:21.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Berrettini has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.13 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 188.73.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Berrettini has won 46% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Berrettini has converted 27.03% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.72% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Berrettini vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 25 | Games Won | 27 |
| 32 | Aces (Total) | 6 |
| 4 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
| 1:49:21 | Average Match Time | 1:49:21 |
| 70% (107/153) | 1st Serve % | 70% (114/162) |
| 80% (86/107) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (82/114) |
| 41% (19/46) | 2nd Serve Win % | 58% (28/48) |
| 29% (2/7) | Break Pts Won % | 38% (3/8) |
| 32% (52/162) | Return Points Win % | 31% (48/153) |
| 0% (0/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Berrettini 54%, Carreno-Busta 52%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Berrettini 45%, Carreno-Busta 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Berrettini 67%, Carreno-Busta 62%.
M. Berrettini Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-AUT - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jurij RodionovJ. Rodionov | W | 6-3 7-6(4) | ||
| Moselle Open - Metz - 03-11-2025 | ||||
QF  Learner TienL. Tien | L | 5-7 6-2 6-3 | ||
R2  Aleksandar VukicA. Vukic | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
R1  Quentin HalysQ. Halys | W | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
QF Alex De MinaurA. De | L | 6-1 7-6(4) | ||
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jakub MensikJ. Mensik | L | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025 | ||||
F Luca Van AsscheL. Van | L | 7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2 | ||
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce | W | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
QF  Alejandro TabiloA. Tabilo | W | 6-3 1-6 7-6(3) | ||
R2 Luka PavlovicL. Pavlovic | W | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
M. Berrettini vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 66.23% (353/180) | YTD Win/Loss | 63.28% (610/354) |
| 63.15% (843/492) | Sets Win/Loss | 60.15% (1431/948) |
| 53.83% (7186/6164) | Games Win/Loss | 53.50% (12146/10558) |
| 63.64% (147/84) | Hard Win/Loss | 65.35% (198/105) |
| 69.54% (105/46) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.62% (355/186) |
| 60.22% (56/37) | Indoor Hard W/L | 51.00% (51/49) |
| 77.59% (45/13) | Grass Win/Loss | 30.00% (6/14) |
| 0.65 | Aces Per Game | 0.26 |
| 4274 | Aces Total | 2864 |
| 0.13 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.12 |
| 865 | Total Double Faults | 1384 |
| 1:40:8 | Average Match Time | 1:21:25 |
| 367.85 | Average Opponent Rank | 487.23 |
| 63% (23281/36808) | 1st Serve % | 64% (35944/56288) |
| 78% (18062/23281) | 1st Serve Win % | 70% (25056/35944) |
| 54% (7240/13527) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (10546/20339) |
| 38% (1150/2998) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 42% (2307/5554) |
| 36% (13684/38437) | Return Points Win % | 39% (22215/56929) |
| 67.95% (53/25) | Slam W/L | 59.41% (60/41) |
| 45.95% (34/40) | Masters W/L | 52.59% (71/64) |
| 76.19% (16/5) | Cups W/L | 52.38% (11/10) |
| 69.82% (118/51) | Main Tour W/L | 56.38% (168/130) |
| 25.00% (1/3) | Tour Finals W/L | 0.00% (0/2) |
| 67.62% (71/34) | Challenger W/L | 70.56% (151/63) |
| 73.17% (60/22) | Futures W/L | 77.01% (144/43) |
| 66% (302/455) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 64% (541/848) |
| 70% (51/73) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 59% (61/104) |
| 56% (158/284) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 56% (207/367) |
| 54% (86/159) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (170/308) |
| 86% (344/296) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (595/514) |
| 14% (344/47) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (595/79) |
| 31% (189/58) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (367/94) |
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